global warming

This article is about the effects of global warming and climate change.[2] The effects, or impacts, of climate change may be physical, ecological, social or economic. Evidence of observed climate change includes the instrumental temperature record, rising sea levels, and decreased snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere.[3] According to IPCC (2007a:10), "[most] of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in [human greenhouse gas] concentrations". It is predicted that future climate changes will include further global warming (i.e., an upward trend in global mean temperature), sea level rise, and a probable increase in the frequency of some extreme weather events. Signatories of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change have agreed to implement policies designed to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases. Overview Global mean surface temperature difference from the average for 1880-2009 Mean surface temperature change for the period 1999 to 2008 relative to the average temperatures from 1940 to 1980 Over the last hundred years or so, the instrumental temperature record has shown a trend in climate of increased global mean temperature, i.e., global warming. Other observed changes include Arctic shrinkage, Arctic methane release, releases of terrestrial carbon from permafrost regions and Arctic methane release in coastal sediments, and sea level rise.[4][5] Global average temperature is predicted to increase over this century, with a probable increase in frequency of some extreme weather events, and changes in rainfall patterns. Moving from global to regional scales, there is increased uncertainty over how climate will change. The probability of warming having unforeseen consequences increases with the rate, magnitude, and duration of climate change.[6] Some of the physical impacts of climate change are irreversible at continental and global scales.[7] With medium confidence, IPCC (2007b:17) concluded that with a global average temperature increase of 1–4°C, (relative to 1990–2000) partial deglaciation of the Greenland ice sheet would occur over a period of centuries to millennia.[8] Including the possible contribution of partial deglaciation of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, sea level would rise by 4–6 m or more. The impacts of climate change across world population will not be distributed evenly (Smith et al., 2001:957).[9] Some regions and sectors are expected to experience benefits while others will experience costs. With greater levels of warming (greater than 2–3°C by 2100, relative to 1990 temperature levels), it is very likely that benefits will decline and costs increase (IPCC, 2007b:17). Low-latitude and less-developed areas are probably at the greatest risk from climate change (Schneider et al.., 2007:781).[10] With human systems, adaptation potential for climate change impacts is considerable, although the costs of adaptation are largely unknown and potentially large. In a literature assessment, Schneider et al.. (2007:792) concluded, with high confidence, that climate change would likely result in reduced diversity of ecosystems and the extinction of many species. Definition of climate change This article refers to reports produced by the IPCC. In their usage, "climate change" refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be identified by changes in the mean and/or variability of its properties, and that persists for extended periods, typically decades or longer (IPCC, 2007d:30).[11] The climate change referred to may be due to natural causes or the result of human activity. Physical impacts Main article: Physical impacts of climate change This section describes some physical impacts of climate change. For some of these physical impacts, their effect on social and economic systems are also described. Effects on weather Increasing temperature is likely to lead to increasing precipitation [12][13] but the effects on storms are less clear. Extratropical storms partly depend on the temperature gradient, which is predicted to weaken in the northern hemisphere as the polar region warms more than the rest of the hemisphere.[14] Extreme weather See also: Extreme weather, Tropical cyclone#Global warming, and List of Atlantic hurricane records IPCC (2007a:8) predicted that in the future, over most land areas, the frequency of warm spells or heat waves would very likely increase.[3] Other likely changes are listed below: * Increased areas will be affected by drought * There will be increased intense tropical cyclone activity * There will be increased incidences of extreme high sea level (excluding tsunamis) Local climate change Main article: Regional effects of global warming The first recorded South Atlantic hurricane, "Catarina", which hit Brazil in March 2004 Regional effects of global warming vary in nature. Some are the result of a generalised global change, such as rising temperature, resulting in local effects, such as melting ice. In other cases, a change may be related to a change in a particular ocean current or weather system. In such cases, the regional effect may be disproportionate and will not necessarily follow the global trend. There are three major ways in which global warming will make changes to regional climate: melting or forming ice, changing the hydrological cycle (of evaporation and precipitation) and changing currents in the oceans and air flows in the atmosphere. The coast can also be considered a region, and will suffer severe impacts from sea level rise. Biogeochemical cycles See also: climate change feedback Climate change may have an effect on the carbon cycle in an interactive "feedback" process . A feedback exists where an initial process triggers changes in a second process that in turn influences the initial process. A positive feedback intensifies the original process, and a negative feedback reduces it (IPCC, 2007d:78).[11] Models suggest that the interaction of the climate system and the carbon cycle is one where the feedback effect is positive (Schneider et al.., 2007:792).[10] Using the A2 SRES emissions scenario, Schneider et al.. (2007:789) found that this effect led to additional warming by 2100, relative to the 1990-2000 period, of 0.1 to 1.5 °C. This estimate was made with high confidence. The climate projections made in the IPCC Forth Assessment Report of 1.1 to 6.4 °C account for this feedback effect. On the other hand, with medium confidence, Schneider et al.. (2007) commented that additional releases of GHGs were possible from permafrost, peat lands, wetlands, and large stores of marine hydrates at high latitudes. Glacier retreat and disappearance Main article: Retreat of glaciers since 1850 A map of the change in thickness of mountain glaciers since 1970. Thinning in orange and red, thickening in blue. IPCC (2007a:5) found that, on average, mountain glaciers and snow cover had decreased in both the northern and southern hemispheres.[3] This widespread decrease in glaciers and ice caps has contributed to observed sea level rise. With very high or high confidence, IPCC (2007d:11) made a number of predictions relating to future changes in glaciers:[11] * Mountainous areas in Europe will face glacier retreat * In Latin America, changes in precipitation patterns and the disappearance of glaciers will significantly affect water availability for human consumption, agriculture, and energy production * In Polar regions, there will be reductions in glacier extent and the thickness of glaciers. Oceans The role of the oceans in global warming is a complex one. The oceans serve as a sink for carbon dioxide, taking up much that would otherwise remain in the atmosphere, but increased levels of CO2 have led to ocean acidification. Furthermore, as the temperature of the oceans increases, they become less able to absorb excess CO2. Global warming is projected to have a number of effects on the oceans. Ongoing effects include rising sea levels due to thermal expansion and melting of glaciers and ice sheets, and warming of the ocean surface, leading to increased temperature stratification. Other possible effects include large-scale changes in ocean circulation. Acidification Main article: Ocean acidification Dissolving CO2 in seawater increases the hydrogen ion (H+) concentration in the ocean, and thus decreases ocean pH. Caldeira and Wickett (2003) placed the rate and magnitude of modern ocean acidification changes in the context of probable historical changes during the last 300 million years.[15] Since the industrial revolution began, it is estimated that surface ocean pH has dropped by slightly more than 0.1 units (on the logarithmic scale of pH; approximately a 30% increase in H+), and it is estimated that it will drop by a further 0.3 to 0.5 units (more than doubling ocean H+ concentrations) by 2100 as the oceans absorb more anthropogenic CO2.[15] [16][17] Oxygen depletion The amount of oxygen dissolved in the oceans may decline, with adverse consequences for ocean life.[18][19] Sea level rise Main article: Current sea level rise IPCC (2007a:5) reported that since 1961, global average sea level had risen at an average rate of 1.8 [1.3 to 2.3] mm/yr.[3] Between 1993 and 2003, the rate increased above the previous period to 3.1 [2.4 to 3.8] mm/yr. IPCC (2007a) were uncertain whether the increase in rate from 1993 to 2003 was due to natural variations in sea level over the time period, or whether it reflected an increase in the underlying long-term trend. IPCC (2007a:13, 14) projected sea level rise to the end of the 21st century using the SRES emission scenarios. Across the six SRES marker scenarios, sea level was projected to rise by 18 to 59 cm (7.1 to 23.2 inches). This projection was for the time period 2090-2099, with the increase in level relative to average sea levels over the 1980-1999 period. Due to a lack of scientific understanding, this sea level rise estimate does not include all of the possible contributions of ice sheets (see the section on abrupt or irreversible changes). Temperature rise From 1961 to 2003, the global ocean temperature has risen by 0.10 °C from the surface to a depth of 700 m. There is variability both year-to-year and over longer time scales, with global ocean heat content observations showing high rates of warming for 1991 to 2003, but some cooling from 2003 to 2007.[20] The temperature of the Antarctic Southern Ocean rose by 0.17 °C (0.31 °F) between the 1950s and the 1980s, nearly twice the rate for the world's oceans as a whole [21]. As well as having effects on ecosystems (e.g. by melting sea ice, affecting algae that grow on its underside), warming reduces the ocean's ability to absorb CO2.[citation needed] Social systems Main article: Climate change, industry and society Food supply Main article: Climate change and agriculture See also: Food security, Food vs fuel, and 2007–2008 world food price crisis Climate change will impact agriculture and food production around the world due to: the effects of elevated CO2 in the atmosphere, higher temperatures, altered precipitation and transpiration regimes, increased frequency of extreme events, and modified weed, pest, and pathogen pressure (Easterling et al.., 2007:282).[22] In general, low-latitude areas are at most risk of having decreased crop yields (Schneider et al.., 2007:790).[10] With low to medium confidence, Schneider et al.. (2007:787) concluded that for about a 1 to 3°C global mean temperature increase (by 2100, relative to the 1990-2000 average level) there would be productivity decreases for some cereals in low latitudes, and productivity increases in high latitudes. With medium confidence, global production potential was predicted to: * increase up to around 3°C, * very likely decrease above about 3 to 4°C. Most of the studies on global agriculture assessed by Schneider et al.. (2007:790) had not incorporated a number of critical factors, including changes in extreme events, or the spread of pests and diseases. Studies had also not considered the development of specific practices or technologies to aid adaptation. Health Human beings are exposed to climate change through changing weather patterns (temperature, precipitation, sea-level rise and more frequent extreme events) and indirectly through changes in water, air and food quality and changes in ecosystems, agriculture, industry and settlements and the economy (Confalonieri et al.., 2007:393).[23] According to a literature assessment by Confalonieri et al.. (2007:393), the effects of climate change to date have been small, but are projected to progressively increase in all countries and regions. With high confidence, Confalonieri et al.. (2007:393) concluded that climate change had altered the seasonal distribution of some allergenic pollen species. With medium confidence, they concluded that climate change had: * altered the distribution of some infectious disease vectors * increased heatwave-related deaths With high confidence, IPCC (2007d:48) projected that:[11] * the health status of millions of people would be affected through, for example, increases in malnutrition; increased deaths, diseases and injury due to extreme weather events; increased burden of diarrhoeal diseases; increased frequency of cardio-respiratory diseases due to high concentrations of ground-level ozone in urban areas related to climate change; and altered spatial distribution of some infectious diseases. * climate change would bring some benefits in temperate areas, such as fewer deaths from cold exposure, and some mixed effects such as changes in range and transmission potential of malaria in Africa. Overall, IPCC (2007d:48) expected that benefits would be outweighed by negative health effects of rising temperatures, especially in developing countries. With very high confidence, Confalonieri et al. (2007:393) concluded that economic development was an important component of possible adaptation to climate change. Economic growth on its own, however, was not judged to be sufficient to insulate the world's population from disease and injury due to climate change. The manner in which economic growth occurs was judged to be important, along with how the benefits of growth are distributed in society. Examples of other important factors in determining the health of populations were listed as: education, health care, and public-health infrastructure.

Thursday, September 16, 2010

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Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

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* Date added: October 30, 2009
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From 3M:

Post-it Digital Notes are easy, intuitive, and packed with features to get you organized. You can make lists and reminders, color code notes, sort them by category, group them in memoboards (folders), and set alarms to remind yourself of projects and appointments. Easily clean up your desktop notes by minimizing them, hiding them, or moving them into a memoboard. Set your own hot keys for creating, showing, hiding, and finding notes. Define your default note font and color settings. Select your own sounds to play for alarms, creating new notes, trashing notes. You can now capture content on Post-it Digital Notes as you browse. Transfer highlighted text and/or images to notes with one click. URLs are automatically saved to take you back to your favorite websites. The Bookmark Notes feature adds a note button to your Internet Explorer and Firefox toolbars. With new features continually being added, you will always have access to the latest and greatest changes to Post-it Digital Notes.

What's new in this version:
Version 4.8 is Windows 7 compatible.

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1 stars

1 out of 1 people found this review helpful

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"Too intrusive..."

by ablefton on May 25, 2010

Pros: It has the potential of being an excellent product with, sometimes, over the top animation and noise...which can be shut off, after you've poked around a bit. Other pros...Hmmmm. See my Cons statement.

Cons: For a company as sophisticated as 3M, this Post It app is remarkably amateurish and intrusive. Every wacky way in which they can try and get your attention to buy the free trial is over the top. It's noisy and intrudes way too much.

Summary: 3M definitely doesn't believe in a "less in more" philosophy here. Forget it. There are other options.l

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5 stars

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"excellent quick and good features"

by Americanb on September 11, 2010

Pros: Simple too use, great features

Cons: I like everything about it, no Cons.

Summary: Over all a great product

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4 stars

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"Great. Wish main window didnt open all time."

by haley398 on May 12, 2010

Pros: Great for reminders and appts and phone numbers

Cons: Not free to keep.

Summary: I liked the post its they are convenient. Better than having sticky notes all over the house and loosing them or loosing the stick on them.

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1 stars

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"Posts it's NO LONGER FREE.. a Pinball machine of ADs"

by unmarc on May 10, 2010

Pros: NO MORE FREE POST IT'S LITE--- AVOID this program. It's a PAY Trial Version that Is worse than a Virus. Pop-ups galore that will fill your screen as soon as you download. I was a fan of the old version. MMM now is a Virus

Cons: NO MORE FREE POST IT'S LITE--- AVOID this program. It's a PAY Trial Version that Is worse than a Virus. Pop-ups galore that will fill your screen as soon as you download. I was a fan of the old version. MMM now is a Virus

Summary: NO MORE FREE POST IT'S LITE--- AVOID this program. It's a PAY Trial Version that Is worse than a Virus. Pop-ups galore that will fill your screen as soon as you download. I was a fan of the old version. MMM now is a Virus

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4 stars

2 out of 2 people found this review helpful

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"As easy or complicated as you want"

by SheLuvsHerIpod on November 15, 2009

Pros: Ability to change keyboard shortcuts, notes can easily be hidden, no software glitches

Cons: Creating a template should be simpler and the ability to set a default font exits but the chosen font doesn't 'stick' (perhaps these are trail limitations - not sure)

Summary: I tried a freeware digital notes program for a full day and realized how great something so no-frills could be. Unfortunately, I had issues with notes that wouldn't go away and notes that wouldn't 'unroll'. It was also way too easy to X a note away. Overall, it was good, just not good enough.

I searched CNet and Post-It Digital Notes was (and is) a top download with a lengthy trial. It works flawlessly and has features that allow you to make digital notes as complicated a 'system' as your heart desires. The ability to add tabs to the bulletin board is brilliant but, for me, 'out of sight, out of mind' rules most days. And, my calendar is full enough so I rarely set alarms.

My system is very straightforward - when I think of something, I type out a digital note and leave it on my desktop. When the task is completed, I put the note in the 'trash' - that's it!

A lot is written about Getting Things Done (GTD) so of course I've read the books & blogs and tried some of the available software. There are two simple streamlined GTD principles I apply in my use of digital notes and they are:

1. Write down every single thing you have to do, should do, are thinking about doing, are overdue doing, will have to do, etc.
2. GTD would have you create folders for computer work, etc. Since I use post-its for both my business and personal lives, I created a header system that includes @computer, @phone, @work and @home work. Rather than create Bulletin boards on which to pin notes, I create notes on the fly and leave them scattered on my desktop I no longer need a digital note reminder.

I can haul my laptop anywhere and work but it'd be Post-It Digital notes would be absolutely perfect if the program created a bullet point list or notes format that synchs with a smart phone. Even without such, I'm satisfied.

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1 stars

1 out of 2 people found this review helpful

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"Lacks fundamental setting"

by GoodGuyToo on January 5, 2010

Pros: Pros are not applicable for my point. See below.

Cons: The basic idea with a note is that is should be visible. None of the "note" sw offers this. They totally hide or smack it on top off everything. If you simply let it stay on the desktop, you succeed to 99,99%. Without it I say it is pretty useless.

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4 stars

0 out of 1 people found this review helpful

Version: Post-it Digital Notes 4.8

"This Software Will provide best services....."

by Sunbizar2s on May 12, 2010

Pros: This software will help to improve your power to work this note your every important details and meetings....

Cons: I have see many changes after using this software....

Summary: would have you create folders for computer work, etc. Since I use post-its for both my business and personal lives, I created a header system that includes @computer, @phone, @work and @home work. Rather than create Bulletin boards on which to pin notes, I create

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